湖北农业科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 57 ›› Issue (23): 65-70.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2018.23.015

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

长沙地区雷暴特征及雷击灾害风险区划分析

贺秋艳, 郭斌, 杨加艳, 吴亚昊, 王少娟   

  1. 湖南省气象灾害防御技术中心,长沙 410007
  • 收稿日期:2018-06-13 出版日期:2018-12-10 发布日期:2019-12-18
  • 作者简介:贺秋艳(1986-),女,湖南永州人,工程师,硕士,主要从事雷电灾害风险区划研究,(电话)18229810991(电子信箱)512448568@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    湖南省气象局科研课题项目(XQKJ18B069)

Characteristics of Lightening and Disaster Risk Regionalization in Changsha

HE Qiu-yan, GUO Bin, YANG Jia-yan, WU Ya-hao, WANG Shao-juan   

  1. Meteorological Disaster Prevention Technology Center of Hunan Province,Changsha 410007,China
  • Received:2018-06-13 Online:2018-12-10 Published:2019-12-18

摘要: 基于长沙地区4个气象台站1951—2013年的雷暴观测资料和2009—2017年闪电监测数据,分析了本区域内雷暴时空分布特征及规律;同时,结合长沙地区2002—2017年的雷击灾害、人口密度等数据,选取雷击密度、雷击灾害频度、生命易损模数及经济易损模数构造了雷电灾害易损性评估模型,对长沙地区进行了雷电灾害风险区划。结果表明,长沙地区年平均雷暴日数总体呈下降趋势,下降倾向率为1.858 d/10 d;雷暴季节性变化明显,以夏季出现最多,约占全年雷暴日数的46.6%;存在5~6年,13~14年的年际尺度显著变化周期;长沙县、宁乡县为雷击灾害极高易损区,望城区为高易损区。

关键词: 雷电, 雷击灾害, 易损性, 区划

Abstract: Based on the thunderstorm observation data of four meteorological stations’ in Changsha region from 1951 to 2013,and the lightning monitoring data from 2009 to 2017,the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of lightening in Changsha were analyzed. At the same time,combined with data from lightning strikes from 2002 to 2017 in Changsha and population densities,the disaster risk regionalization was made by using the index of lightning strike density,frequency of lightning disasters,life vulnerability modulus and economic vulnerability modulus. The result show that,the average lightening days in Changsha has generally declined by the rate of 1.858 d/10 years. The seasonal variation is obvious with more in summer which accounts for 46.66% in total. The days of thunder shows strong period pattern in 5~6 a years and 13~14 years.Changsha county is an extremely vulnerable area for lightning strikes,Changsha and Ningxiang are highly vulnerable areas.

Key words: lightening, disaster risk, vulnerability, regionalization

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