Study on the causes of cultivated land abandonment based on DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC model: A case study of Licheng County, Changzhi City, Shanxi Province

doi:10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2025.03.033

Abstract

Abstract: Taking Licheng County, Changzhi City, Shanxi Province as an example, this study proposed influencing factors of cultivated land abandonment from four aspects: natural conditions, economy, population, and production, based on literature review, field surveys, and expert interviews. The DEMATEL-MICMAC-ISM model was employed to analyze the correlations, importance, hierarchical structure, and driving force-dependency relationships of these factors. The results showed that the 15 influencing factors of cultivated land abandonment were divided into 3 clusters across 6 levels: Direct factors (L1), intermediate factors (L2, L3, L4, L5), and deep factors (L6). Using the MICMAC model, the dependency and driving force values of each factor were calculated, and the driving factors were categorized into four types: linked factors, independent factors, autonomous factors, and dependent factors. Key factors influencing cultivated land abandonment included terrain slope, elevation, background value, expenditure on agriculture, forestry, and water affairs, total agricultural machinery power, location conditions, tillage convenience, and distance to water sources.

Key words: cultivated land utilization, cultivated land abandonment, DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC model, Licheng County,Changzhi City,Shanxi Province

CLC Number:

F323.211

ZHAO Hui-rong, YIN Hai-shan. Study on the causes of cultivated land abandonment based on DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC model: A case study of Licheng County, Changzhi City, Shanxi Province[J]. HUBEI AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, 2025, 64(3): 216-223.

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