湖北农业科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (2): 44-48.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2020.02.010

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

1979—2018年湖南冰雹日数气候特征及影响因子分析

桑友伟1, 孟蕾1, 何娜2, 黄武英3   

  1. 1. 中国气象局气象干部培训学院湖南分院,长沙 410125;
    2. 嘉禾县气象局;湖南 嘉禾 424500;
    3. 资兴市气象局,湖南 资兴 423400
  • 收稿日期:2019-04-04 发布日期:2020-04-24
  • 通讯作者: 孟 蕾,高级工程师,主要从事气象教育培训与气象服务工作,(电子信箱)menglei_07@nuist.edu.cn。
  • 作者简介:桑友伟(1988-),男,江苏淮安人,工程师,硕士,主要从事气象教育培训与应用气象研究,(电话)15974203773(电子信箱)809877607@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    湖南省气象局重点课题(XQKJ18A004); 湖南省气象局2018年短平快课题(XQJK18B089)

Analysis on climatic characteristics and influencing factors of hail days in Hunan province from 1979 to 2018

SANG You-wei1, MENG Lei1, HE Na2, HUANG Wu-ying3   

  1. 1. Hunan Branch of China Meteorological Administration Training Centre,Changsha 410125,China;
    2. Jiahe County Meteorological Bureau,Jiahe 424500,Hunan,China;
    3. Zixing Meteorological Bureau,Zixing 423400,Hunan,China
  • Received:2019-04-04 Published:2020-04-24

摘要: 利用1979—2018年湖南95个气象站冰雹日数观测资料和NECP 0.5°×0.5°再分析资料,采用线性倾向估计、M-K检验、小波分析、相似度分析等方法对湖南省冰雹气候特征及影响因子进行分析。结果表明,湖南省降冰雹季节性明显,主要降雹月份为1—5月,3月冰雹日数最多,是典型春季降雹区;湖南省冰雹总体西北多,东南少,由西北向东南递减;近40年湖南省冰雹日数显著减少,3月减少趋势最显著,同时冰雹日数呈周期性变化,以2~3年和4~6年周期最为显著,进入2000年以来主要以3年周期波动变化为主;冰雹日数的减少主要来自冰雹高发区日数在显著减少,湘西北、湘北、湘西南、湘中等地多数站点冰雹趋势下降显著;湖南省冰雹空间分布及变化趋势与大气稳定度K指数的分布及变化趋势显著相关,在月平均K指数低于23的区域内,冰雹高值区与同纬度上K指数的相对高值区相对应,冰雹日数显著减少地区对应K指数显著增加的区域。

关键词: 冰雹, 时空分布, K指数, 大气稳定度

Abstract: Hail days observation data from 95 weather stations in Hunan province and NECP 0.5°×0.5° reanalysis data from 1979 to 2018 was used to analyze the climatic characteristics and influencing factors of hail days in Hunan by linear trend estimation, M-K test, wavelet analysis, and similarity analysis. The results showed that the season of hail in Hunan province was obvious, the months from January to May are the main hail months, and the number of hail days in March was the most, which was a typical spring hail area; In general, hail in Hunan province was more in the northwest and less in the southeast, decreasing from northwest to southeast; In recent 40 years, the number of hail days in Hunan province had decreased significantly, and the decrease trend was the most significant in March, at the same time, the number of hail days presents periodic changes, especially in cycles 2~3 years and 4~6 years, 3 years cycle fluctuation had been the main trend since 2000; The decrease of hail days in Hunan province mainly came from the significant decrease of hail days in the areas with high incidence of hail, most stations in northwestern Hunan, northern Hunan, southern Hunan and central Hunan had a significant decrease of hail days; The spatial distribution and variation trend of hail in Hunan province were significantly correlated with the distribution and variation trend of atmospheric stability K index, in the regions with monthly average K index lower than 23, the high value area of hail corresponds to the relatively high value area of K index at the same latitude, and the regions with significantly decreased number of hail days correspond to the regions with significantly increased K index.

Key words: hail, spatial and temporal variation, K index, atmospheric stability

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