湖北农业科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (8): 199-205.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2020.08.045

• 经济·管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于GA-BP神经网络的中国既有建色改造风险评价研究

陈悦华1, 张锐琪1, 李晓2   

  1. 1.武汉大学土木建筑工程学院,武汉 430072;
    2.湖北省招标股份有限公司,武汉 430071
  • 收稿日期:2019-07-09 出版日期:2020-04-25 发布日期:2020-07-03
  • 通讯作者: 张锐琪(1995-),女,湖北黄石人,在读硕士研究生,主要从事绿色建筑、建设工程风险管理等研究,(电话)13297940668(电子信箱)565837426@qq.com。
  • 作者简介:陈悦华(1968-),男,广西北海人,副教授,博士,主要从事工程项目管理、建筑产业化等研究,(电话)18071121131(电子信箱)yuhchen@whu.edu.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目(71073117)

Risk assessment of greening existing buildings in China based on GA-BP neural network

CHEN Yue-hua1, ZHANG Rui-qi1, LI Xiao2   

  1. 1. School of Civil engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 437200, China;
    2. Hubei Provincial Tendering Co. Ltd, Wuhan 430071, China
  • Received:2019-07-09 Online:2020-04-25 Published:2020-07-03

摘要: 目前中国既有建筑绿色改造进程中的阻碍因素较多,不仅减慢了绿色改造的发展速度,而且使改造项目风险增大。建立针对改造方的既有建筑绿色改造风险评价指标体系,并根据各风险因素影响程度的不同,利用AHP法赋予各指标权重。利用Matlab软件对建立好的GA-BP神经网络进行训练,应用于建筑绿色改造后的风险后评价及拟进行的绿色改造项目风险评估。结果表明,对于改造方来说,应加大决策及设计阶段的风险管理。

关键词: 绿色改造, 风险评价, 风险管理, 神经网络, 遗传算法

Abstract: There are many obstacles in the process of green renovation of existing buildings in China, which not only slows down the development of green renovation, but also increases the risk of renovation projects. In this study, the risk evaluation index system for green renovation of existing buildings is established for the retrofitting party. According to the different degree of impact of each risk factor, the weight of each index is given by the AHP method. The Matlab software is used to train the established GA-BP neural network, which is applied to the post-risk evaluation of the green transformation of the building and the risk assessment of the proposed green transformation project. The results show that for the reformer, risk management in the decision-making and design stage should be increased.

Key words: green renovation, risk assessment, risk management, neural network, genetic algorithm

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