湖北农业科学 ›› 2023, Vol. 62 ›› Issue (7): 19-23.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2023.07.004

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

近20年中国不同地区农业用水量演变驱动因素研究

吴易桐, 朱玲億, 吴敏   

  1. 河海大学商学院,江苏 常州 213022
  • 收稿日期:2022-06-16 出版日期:2023-07-25 发布日期:2023-08-15
  • 通讯作者: 吴 敏(1980-),讲师,博士,主要从事环境、资源会计、审计研究工作,(电子信箱)20031691@hhu.edu.cn。
  • 作者简介:吴易桐(2001-),女,江苏南通人,在读本科生,研究方向为财务管理与产业经济政策,(电话)18901487242(电子信箱)1963310224@hhu.edu.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    大学生创新创业训练计划项目(2021102941272); 国家级大学生创新创业计划项目(202110294082)

Study on the driving factors of agricultural water consumption evolution in different regions of China in recent 20 years

WU Yi-tong, ZHU Ling-yi, WU Min   

  1. Business School, Hohai University, Changzhou 213022, Jiangsu, China
  • Received:2022-06-16 Online:2023-07-25 Published:2023-08-15

摘要: 基于31个省(市、自治区)的面板数据,并将31个省(市、自治区)分为六大地区,采用LMDI分解方法将农业用水量驱动因素分解为农业用水强度、农业化、省份经济发展、地区经济发展、经济增长(全国人均经济水平)和人口规模六大驱动因素,探究了各驱动因素对农业用水的影响程度。结果表明,农业用水强度和农业化对农业用水量的减少都起到正向作用,且农业用水强度效应占主导作用;经济增长和人口规模对农业用水量的减少均起到负向作用,且经济增长效应占主导作用。依据结果,提出在发展经济的同时应当兼顾农业用水强度,达成节水型经济增长新常态;缩小地区经济发展差异,控制其对节水产生的负面影响;投入资金加强农业用水强度效应等建议。

关键词: 农业用水量, LMDI, 地区视角, 驱动因素分解, 节水

Abstract: The panel data of 31 provinces(cities, autonomous regions) was used, and provinces (cities, autonomous regions) were divided into six regions. The driving factors of agricultural water consumption were decomposed into six major driving factors: agricultural water consumption intensity, agriculturalization, provincial economic development, regional economic development, economic growth(national per capita economic level) and population size by LMDI model, and the impact of each driving factor on agricultural water consumption was explored. The results showed that the agricultural water consumption intensity and agriculturalization promoted the reduction of agricultural water consumption, and the agricultural water consumption intensity effect was the dominant effect; the economic growth and population size inhibited the reduction of agricultural water consumption, and the economic growth effect was the dominant effect. Based on the results, the following recommendations were put forward: economic development should be balanced with water consumption intensity to achieve a new normal of water-saving economic growth; regional economic development differences should be reduced to control their negative effects on water conservation; and funds should be invested to strengthen the intensity effect of water consumption.

Key words: agriculture water consumption, LMDI, regional perspective, decomposition of driving factors, water conservation

中图分类号: