湖北农业科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (22): 49-58.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2020.22.010

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

一次混合强对流天气过程数值模拟分析

苏涛, 姚蓉, 周长青, 周莉   

  1. 湖南省气象台/气象防灾减灾湖南省重点实验室,长沙 410118
  • 收稿日期:2020-03-30 出版日期:2020-11-25 发布日期:2020-12-30
  • 通讯作者: 姚蓉,女,正研级高级工程师,主要从事灾害性天气预报与技术方法研究,(电子信箱)543828780@qq.com
  • 作者简介:苏涛(1992-),男,湖南常德人,工程师,硕士,主要从事中尺度气象学研究,(电话)18874867303(电子信箱)sutao175819@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局2015年关键技术集成与应用项目(CMAGJ2015M40);湖南省气象局重点课题(XQKJ16A002);湖南省气象局预报员专项(XQKJ20C009)

Numerical simulation analysis of a mixed severe convective weather process

SU Tao, YAO Rong, ZHOU Chang-qing, ZHOU Li   

  1. Hunan Meteorological Observatory/Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Reduction Key Laboratory of Hunan Province,Changsha 410118,China
  • Received:2020-03-30 Online:2020-11-25 Published:2020-12-30

摘要: 利用地面、高空等常规观测资料,分析了2015年4月3—4日发生在湖南省的一次强对流过程的环流形势及气象要素特征,采用高分辨率WRF模式对湘东北混合强对流天气进行了数值模拟,探讨了洞庭湖区复杂下垫面下强对流风暴的结构、发展演变过程及其触发机制。结果表明,这是一次典型低层暖平流强迫天气背景下的混合强对流天气过程,地面气压4 hPa升降突变对应着湘东北先后发生的不同类型强对流天气;持续强的垂直风切变与上升气流的相互作用,使得风暴得以维持,并由对流单体合并发展加强形成强风暴;湘东北地区不稳定能量积聚,局地热对流及地形等抬升作用,低层流场急剧辐合并形成强烈的旋转上升运动,触发了不稳定能量的释放,为冰雹、雷雨大风及暴雨等强对流天气提供了有利的动力与热力不稳定条件;模拟结果刻画了洞庭湖区混合性强风暴发生的空间结构特征和环境参数演变,对于混合性强对流天气的预警预报有一定的指示作用。

关键词: 强对流天气, 下垫面特征, 数值模拟, 湖南省

Abstract: The circulation situation and meteorological features of a strong convection process occurring in Hunan province is analyzed from April3—4,2015,using conventional observation data such as ground and high altitude.The high-resolution WRF model focuses on the strong combination of northeastern Hunan.The convective weather is numerically simulated,and the structure,evolution and trigger mechanism of the strong convective storm under the complex underlying surface of the Dongting lake area are discussed.The results show that this is a mixed strong convective weather in a typical low-level warm-flow forced weather background.The4 hPa up-and-down of ground pressure corresponds to different types of severe convective weather in northeastern Hunan.The continuous strong vertical wind shear and updraft the effect is to maintain the storm,and the convective monomer merges and develops to strengthen the multi-cell strong storm (the supercell storm).The unstable energy accumulation in the northeastern part of Hunan,the local geothermal convection and topography and other uplifting effects,and the low-level flow field sharply merge into a strong rotational rise.The movement triggers the release of unstable energy,which provides favorable dynamic and thermal instability conditions for strong convective weather such as hail,thunderstorm and heavy rain.The simulation results accurately describe the spatial structure and environment of the mixed strong storm in the Dongting lake area.The evolution of parameters has a certain indication for the early warning and forecasting of mixed strong convective weather.

Key words: severe convective weather, underlying surface features, numerical simulation, Hunan province

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