湖北农业科学 ›› 2021, Vol. 60 ›› Issue (20): 62-66.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2021.20.011

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

冬小麦种植区域农业气象灾害风险评估研究——以河南省为例

李雪1,2   

  1. 1.南京大学大气科学学院,南京 210000;
    2.山东省济南市章丘区气象局,济南 250200
  • 收稿日期:2021-09-08 出版日期:2021-10-25 发布日期:2021-11-05
  • 作者简介:李 雪(1987-),女,山东济南人,工程师,主要从事公共气象服务方面的工作,(电话)18106313359(电子信箱)948590872@qq.com。

Risk assessment of agrometeorological disasters in winter wheat planting region: A case study of Henan province

LI Xue1,2   

  1. 1. School of Atmospheric Sciences,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210000,China;
    2. Jinan Zhangqiu District Meteorological Bureau,Jinan 250200,China
  • Received:2021-09-08 Online:2021-10-25 Published:2021-11-05

摘要: 在充分利用滑动平均法以及GIS空间数据分析法等多种方法的基础上,确定了冬小麦气象灾害的评价指标,从而构建了基于冬小麦种植区域的农业气象灾害风险评估模型,以河南省为例,选取其14个站点作为样本数据,对冬小麦的气象灾害进行评估。结果表明,河南省的干旱高风险区主要集中在开封、安阳等地;干热风高风险区则主要集中在河南省的北部以及中部;而晚霜冻高风险区主要分布在河南省的丘陵地区。

关键词: 冬小麦, 种植区, 气象灾害, 风险评估

Abstract: On the basis of making full use of moving average method and GIS spatial data analysis method and other methods, the evaluation index of winter wheat meteorological disaster was determined, and the agricultural meteorological disaster risk assessment model based on the winter wheat planting area was constructed. Taking Henan province as an example, 14 stations were selected as sample data to assess the meteorological disasters of winter wheat. The results showed that the high-risk areas of drought in Henan province were mainly concentrated in Kaifeng and Anyang; The high-risk areas of dry hot wind were mainly concentrated in the north and central part of Henan province; And the high-risk areas of late frost were mainly distributed in the hilly areas of Henan province.

Key words: winter wheat, planting area, meteorological disaster, risk assessment

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