湖北农业科学 ›› 2022, Vol. 61 ›› Issue (9): 27-32.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2022.09.006

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

江西省近60年极端高温变化特征及其对水稻的影响

胡菊芳1, 占龙飞1, 谢远玉2   

  1. 1.江西省气候中心,南昌 330096;
    2.江西省赣州市气象局,江西 赣州 341000
  • 收稿日期:2022-02-17 出版日期:2022-05-10 发布日期:2022-05-26
  • 通讯作者: 谢远玉,正高级工程师,主要从事农业气象研究,(电子信箱)xyy_1965@163.com。
  • 作者简介:胡菊芳(1970-),女,江西新余人,高级工程师,主要从事气候变化研究,(电话)13870959069(电子信箱)594188329@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    江西省气象科技项目(JX2020Z14)

Variation characteristics of extreme high temperature in Jiangxi Province in recent 60 years and its impact on rice

HU Ju-fang1, ZHAN Long-fei1, XIE Yuan-yu2   

  1. 1. Jiangxi Provincial Climate Centre, Nanchang 330096, China;
    2. Ganzhou Meteorological Bureau, Ganzhou 341000, Jiangxi,China
  • Received:2022-02-17 Online:2022-05-10 Published:2022-05-26

摘要: 利用江西省有完整观测资料的80个气象观测站的日最高气温资料,采用算术平均法、线性趋势法和显著性检验等气候统计诊断方法,选取极端最高气温、不同强度高温阈值日数和高温初终日等3个高温特征指标分析江西省近60年极端高温变化特征及其对水稻的影响。结果表明,近60年江西省日最高气温≥35 ℃的年日数增速显著;日最高气温≥38 ℃的年日数增速不显著;日最高气温≥40 ℃的年累积站日在20世纪60—90年代变化不明显,但进入21世纪急剧增多;江西省大部地区3个不同强度高温阈值日数均呈上升趋势;近60年江西省极端最高气温大部分地区呈上升趋势,最高气温历史极值大部分地区出现在21世纪;高温平均初日明显提前、平均终日明显推后,高温日数明显增多;高温对江西省双季早稻和一季稻抽穗扬花、灌浆乳熟影响明显。

关键词: 极端高温, 高温初终日, 变化特征, 水稻, 江西省

Abstract: This paper used the daily maximum temperature data of 80 meteorological observation stations in Jiangxi Province with complete observation data, and adopted the arithmetic mean method, linear trend method, significance test and other climate statistical diagnostic methods to select extreme maximum temperature, high temperature threshold days of different intensity and initial and terminal date of high temperature. The three high temperature characteristic indicators were used to analyze the variation characteristics of extreme high temperature in Jiangxi Province in the past 60 years and its impact on rice. The results showed that in the past 60 years, the annual number of days with the daily maximum temperature ≥35 ℃ in Jiangxi Province had increased significantly; the annual number of days with the daily maximum temperature ≥38 ℃ had not grown significantly;the annual cumulative station days with daily maximum temperature ≥40 ℃ did not change significantly from the 1960s to the 1990s, but increased sharply in the 21st century; the three high temperature threshold days of different intensities in most areas of Jiangxi Province all showed an upward trend; in the past 60 years, most areas of extreme maximum temperature in Jiangxi Province showed an upward trend, and most of the historical extreme values of the highest temperature occurred in the 21st century; the average first day of high temperature was significantly earlier, the average last day was obviously delayed, and the number of high temperature days increased significantly;high temperature had obvious effects on the heading, flowering, grain filling and milk maturity of double-cropping early rice and single-cropping rice in Jiangxi Province.

Key words: extreme high temperature, the beginning and end of high temperature, variation characteristics, rice, Jiangxi Province

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