关键词: 革命老区, 农旅融合, 耦合协调模型, 动态关系, 临沂市

Abstract: The coordination level and dynamic relationship of agricultural tourism integration in Linyi City, an old revolutionary base area was empirically tested by using the coupling coordination model, E-G two-step test, Granger causality test and impulse response function. The results showed that from 2010 to 2019, the integration degree of agriculture and tourism in Linyi City was 0.4~0.6, which was in the initial stage, and the integration development speed was relatively slow. From 2010 to 2019, the coordination degree of agricultural tourism integration in Linyi City experienced the process of primary coordination （2010—2013） → intermediate coordination （2014—2018） → good coordination （2019）. The agricultural tourism industrial structure was relatively reasonable, and there was still a certain gap from high-quality coordination. There was a long-term equilibrium relationship and two-way causality between agriculture and tourism. When the random disturbance term was given, the driving effect of overall agriculture on tourism development was obviously stronger than that of tourism on agriculture. In view of the above conclusions, some suggestions were put forward, such as strengthening product innovation, consolidating the agricultural foundation, cultivating brand attraction, and making overall plans on the management mechanism and supporting measures.

Key words: old revolutionary base areas, integration of agriculture and tourism, coupling coordination model, dynamic relationship, Linyi City