湖北农业科学 ›› 2024, Vol. 63 ›› Issue (3): 59-68.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2024.03.010

• 乡村新业态 • 上一篇    下一篇

数字经济背景下互联网使用能否促进农村女性非农就业

赵兰兰, 夏咏   

  1. 新疆农业大学经济管理学院,乌鲁木齐 830052
  • 收稿日期:2022-06-20 出版日期:2024-03-25 发布日期:2024-04-07
  • 通讯作者: 夏 咏(1971-),男,新疆乌鲁木齐人,教授,博士,主要从事区域经济、金融与贸易、国际商务研究,(电话)13579926125(电子信箱)63707679@qq.com。
  • 作者简介:赵兰兰(1996-),女,江苏徐州人,硕士,研究方向为区域经济,(电话)13139896592(电子信箱)1694324196@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(71763027); 新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目(2021D01A81); 新疆维吾尔自治区社科基金项目(18BJY038); 新疆农业大学研究生科研创新项目(XIAUGRI2021047)

Can Internet use promote rural females’ non-agricultural employment under the background of digital economy

ZHAO Lan-lan, XIA Yong   

  1. School of Economics and Management,Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052,China
  • Received:2022-06-20 Online:2024-03-25 Published:2024-04-07

摘要: 采用2017年中国综合社会调查(CGSS)数据,结合Probit模型、随机森林模型(Random forest)与拓展回归模型(ERM)等实证分析方法,分析数字时代互联网使用对农村女性非农就业决策的影响及作用机制。结果表明,互联网使用能够促进农村女性非农就业,其边际效应为6.8%;现代媒介使用频率越高的农村女性,其非农就业概率越高,尤其对自雇就业的影响效果大于受雇就业;信息获取渠道影响则不显著。异质性分析表明,互联网使用对初中以下文化程度、家庭照料强度小、家庭经济水平较低的农村女性非农就业提升的概率更高。互联网使用可能通过人力资本水平提升及经验累积、拓展社会关系渠道、改善传统性别观念认知3个方面影响非农就业。这说明在数字经济时代互联网的使用对农村女性非农就业参与发挥着积极的作用,也为探索现存劳动力制约下的数字红利、优化劳动配置资源、推动经济又好又快发展提供了新视角。

关键词: 数字经济, 互联网使用, 农村女性, 非农就业, 随机森林, 影响机制

Abstract: Using the Chinese General Social Survey data in 2017, combined with empirical analysis methods such as Probit model, Random forest model and extended regression model, the impact and mechanism of Internet use on rural females’ non-agricultural employment decisions in the digital era were analyzed. The results showed that Internet use could promote non-agricultural employment of rural females, and the marginal effect was 6.8%; the higher the frequency of modern media use, the higher the probability of non-agricultural employment of rural females, especially the impact on self-employment was greater than employment; the influence of information access channel was not significant. Heterogeneity analysis showed that Internet use had a higher probability of increasing non-agricultural employment for rural females with junior middle school education level, low family care intensity and low family economic level. Internet use might affect non-agriculture employment through three channels of increasing human capital level and experience accumulation, extending social relations and improving the traditional gender perception. It showed that in the digital economy era, the use of the Internet played a positive role in the participation of rural females in non-agricultural employment, and also provided a new perspective for exploring the digital dividend under the existing labor constraints, optimizing the labor allocation of resources, and promoting the sound and rapid economic development.

Key words: digital economy, Internet use, rural females, non-agricultural employment, Random forest, influence mechanism

中图分类号: