湖北农业科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 65 ›› Issue (3): 210-216.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2026.03.033

• 经济·管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

农业新质生产力与乡村全面振兴的协调演进及障碍因子诊断

夏文豪, 刘志有, 杨鸿彬, 卢永康, 何骅   

  1. 新疆农业大学公共管理学院(法学院),乌鲁木齐 830052
  • 收稿日期:2025-11-10 出版日期:2026-03-25 发布日期:2026-04-09
  • 通讯作者: 刘志有(1986-),男,河南浚县人,副教授,博士,主要从事区域经济与土地资源管理研究,(电话)15292853217(电子信箱)987zy789@163.com。
  • 作者简介:夏文豪(2002-),男,山东新泰人,在读硕士研究生,研究方向为农村区域发展,(电话)15092848956(电子信箱)1107287047@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    新疆维吾尔自治区高校基本科研项目(XJEDU2025Z005)

The coordinated evolution of new-quality productive forces in agriculture and comprehensive rural revitalization and the diagnosis of obstacle factors

XIA Wen-hao, LIU Zhi-you, YANG Hong-bin, LU Yong-kang, HE Hua   

  1. School of Public Administration(Law School), Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China
  • Received:2025-11-10 Published:2026-03-25 Online:2026-04-09

摘要: 为系统探究农业新质生产力与乡村全面振兴之间的内在协调演进关系,基于2011—2023年中国31个省(自治区、直辖市)面板数据,采用熵值法测算农业新质生产力和乡村全面振兴的权重,进一步计算耦合协调度以刻画二者协同演进特征,并基于障碍度模型,诊断影响其耦合协调的关键障碍因子。结果表明,农业新质生产力与乡村振兴的耦合协调度整体呈上升趋势,年均增速约1.91%,但仍处于勉强协调阶段;在空间上主要表现为东高西低的分布格局,呈现较明显的空间集聚特征;影响农业新质生产力的障碍因子主要包括农业用电效率、基础设施、农村宽带接入用户、农村有线广播电视用户数和科技创新水平;影响乡村全面振兴的障碍因子主要包括农村居民平均每百户年末空调拥有量、亿元以上农产品交易市场成交额、地区生产总值、乡村医生和卫生员数。

关键词: 农业新质生产力, 乡村全面振兴, 耦合协调度, 障碍因子

Abstract: To systematically explore the intrinsic coordinated evolution relationship between new-quality productive forces in agriculture and comprehensive rural revitalization, based on the panel data of 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in China from 2011 to 2023,the entropy method was used to calculate the weights of new-quality productive forces in agriculture and comprehensive rural revitalization,the coupling coordination degree was further computed to characterize their synergistic evolution characteristics, and the key obstacle factors affecting their coupling coordination were diagnosed based on the obstacle degree model. The results showed that the coupling coordination degree of new-quality productive forces in agriculture and comprehensive rural revitalization was on the rise, with an average annual growth rate of 1.91%, but it was still in the stage of barely coordination; the spatial distribution was characterized by higher value in the east and lower value in the west, exhibiting a distinct spatial clustering pattern; the main obstacle factors affecting the new-quality productive forces in agriculture included the efficiency of agricultural electricity consumption, the infrastructure, the number of rural broadband users, the number of rural cable TV users and the level of scientific and technological innovation; the main obstacle factors affecting comprehensive rural revitalization included the average number of air conditioners per 100 rural households by year-end, the transaction volume of agricultural product markets exceeding 100 million yuan, the GDP, and the number of rural doctors and health workers.

Key words: new-quality productive forces in agriculture, comprehensive rural revitalization, coupling coordination degree, obstacle factors

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