HUBEI AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES ›› 2025, Vol. 64 ›› Issue (11): 203-209.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2025.11.028

• Economy & Management • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Measurement and forecasting of the contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress in Hubei Province:Based on the study of Solow growth model and regression analysis method

CHEN Wen-hui1, LYU Hao-yun2, WEI Zhi-heng1   

  1. 1. Hubei Provincial Agricultural Science and Technology Talent Office,Wuhan 430070,China;
    2. Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China
  • Received:2025-08-19 Online:2025-11-25 Published:2025-12-05

Abstract: In order to scientifically understand the role of science and technology progress in the development of agricultural economy, the contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress in Hubei Province was measured and analyzed in 2023 based on the Solow growth model and regression analysis method, and the contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress in Hubei Province was forecasted in 2024, 2025 and 2026. The results showed that the contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress in Hubei Province continued to maintain an upward trend, revealing developmental characteristics such as a large gap in the horizontal comparison, a declining trend in the marginal compensation of agricultural material inputs, and negative growth in the contribution rate of labor and land elements. In order to promote the contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress to continue to grow steadily, countermeasures and suggestions were put forward in five aspects, namely, cultivating agricultural new quality productivity, improving agricultural scientific and technological achievements transformation mechanism, strengthening construction of agricultural technology promotion team, expanding the team of new-type farmers, and increasing agricultural scientific and technological innovation capital investment.

Key words: contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress, Solow growth model, regression analysis method, development characteristics, enhancement strategy, Hubei Province

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