Empirical analysis of the impact of carbon reduction policies on carbon emissions：Based on STIRPAT expansion model

doi:10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2020.16.010

Abstract

Abstract: Panel data of 30 provinces （except Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan） from 2007 to 2017 were used to introduce the carbon emission reduction policy into STIRPAT model, and empirical analysis was made on the policy binding force and timeliness of carbon emission reduction policy. The results showed that for the whole country, the direct binding force and timeliness of carbon emission reduction policies were limited, while for the region, the long-term binding force and timeliness of carbon emission reduction policies in the western region were higher than those in the central and eastern regions. Finally, the study puts forward some suggestions on differentiated carbon reduction policy according to the regional impact differences of carbon reduction policies.

Key words: carbon reduction policy, STIRPAT expansion model, carbon emissions, timeliness

CLC Number:

X196

LIU Ling, LI Xiao-jun, PENG Jian-bo. Empirical analysis of the impact of carbon reduction policies on carbon emissions：Based on STIRPAT expansion model[J]. HUBEI AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, 2020, 59(16): 49-53.

References

[1] MARTÍNEZ-ZARZOSO I,BENGOCHEA-MORANCHO A. Pooled mean group estimation of an environmental Kuznets curve for CO₂[J].Economics letters,2004,82(1):121-126.
[2] PAO H T,TSAI C M.Multivariate granger causality between CO₂ emissions,energy consumption,FDI(foreign direct investment)and GDP(gross domestic product):Evidence from a panel of BRIC(Brazil, Russian Federation, India, and China) countries[J].Energy,2011,36(1):685-693.
[3] YI H T,LIU Y.Green economy in China: Regional variations and policy drivers[J].Global environmental change,2015,31:11-19.
[4] 徐玉高,郭元,吴宗鑫.经济发展,碳排放和经济演化[J].环境科学进展,1999,7(2):54-64.
[5] 王锋,吴丽华,杨超.中国经济发展中碳排放增长的驱动因素研究[J].经济研究,2010(2):123-136.
[6] 邵帅,张曦,赵兴荣.中国制造业碳排放的经验分解与达峰路径——广义迪氏指数分解和动态情景分析[J].中国工业经济,2017(3):44-63.
[7] 黄勤,何晴.长江经济带碳排放驱动因素及其空间特征——基于LMDI模型[J].财经科学,2017(5):80-92.
[8] 方浩,梅洪常.竞争要素与低碳发展:基于中西部省域面板数据分析[J].生态经济,2018,34(11):72-76.
[9] KUMAR S M, DEEP M.Drivers of greenhouse gas emissions in the United States:revisiting STIRPAT model[J]. Environment development and sustainability, 2018:1-17.
[10] 高新伟,李洁仪,闫昊本.汽油消费税对私人汽车碳排放影响研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2019,29(10):135-142.
[11] 汤姿,李晓红.基于STIRPAT模型的黑龙江省旅游业二氧化碳排放影响因素分析[J].生态经济,2019,35(8):141-145.
[12] 钟少芬,郭晓娟,刘煜平,等.基于STRPAT模型的碳排放情景分析[J].科技管理研究,2019,39(17):253-258.
[13] 孙颖,刘宁宁.工业化、城市化与地区碳排放强度——基于STIRPAT模型的省际面板数据分析[J].改革与开放,2019(17):16-20.
[14] 王兆峰,廖红璐.基于STIRPAT模型的长株潭城市群交通碳排放的影响因素及其区域差异[J].湖南师范大学自然科学学报,2019,42(5):1-9,33.
[15] 刘业炜. 我国居民家庭能源消费时空差异性研究——基于居民家庭收入、区域气候差异与碳减排相关性分析[J].价格理论与实践,2019(7):57-60.
[16] 李学迪,郑海涛.中国城市工业污染的影响因素研究[J].北京航空航天大学学报(社会科学版),2020,33(1):93-98.
[17] WEN L,SHAO H.Analysis of influencing factors of the carbon dioxide emissions in China's commercial department based on the STIRPAT model and ridge regression[J]. Environmental science and pollution research, 2019, 26(26):27138-27147.
[18] 梁一鸣,雷社平.中部六省碳排放因素分析和趋势预测——基于STIRPAT和灰色GM(1,1)模型的实证研究[J].价值工程,2019,38(21):11-14.
[19] 赵当如,陈为.绿色视角下的我国区域财政科技投入绩效评价及其空间收敛性研究[J].海南金融,2018(2):4-16.
[20] 孙亚男,刘华军,崔蓉.中国地区经济差距的来源及其空间相关性影响:区域协调发展视角[J].广东财经大学学报,2016,31(2):4-15.
[21] 侯璐璐,张燕华.中国区域经济发展差距测算和阶段划分[J].区域经济评论,2015(2):10-17.