关键词: RCEP, 蔬菜出口, 影响因素, 贸易潜力, 引力模型

Abstract: Based on the background of RCEP implementation, the gravity model was constructed according to the panel data of vegetable export trade between China and RCEP countries from 2010 to 2020, the influencing factors of vegetable export trade between China and 14 member countries were empirically analyzed, and the trade potential was calculated. The results showed that the per capita GDP of both sides, population of the member countries, cultivated land area of China and the entry of APEC could significantly promote China's vegetable export; the trade potential value between China and RCEP countries was generally high, and they were all potentially pioneering; during the sample period, the trade potential of Laos and Myanmar fluctuated greatly and had great room for expansion. On this basis, some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward from four aspects of grasping the development opportunity of RCEP, strengthening the cooperation between governments, paying full attention to the heterogeneity between countries and increasing the support for vegetable technology research and development.

Key words: RCEP, vegetable export, influencing factors, trade potential, gravity model