关键词: 可持续生计, 返贫风险, 脱贫户, 熵权法, 和田地区, 新疆维吾尔自治区

Abstract: Taking C County in Hotan Region, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China as the research area, a comprehensive evaluation of the risk of returning to poverty was conducted using questionnaire surveys, Analytic Hierarchy Process, Entropy Weight Method, and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation. The results showed that the evaluation values of the risk of poverty return for human capital, natural capital, material capital, financial capital, and social capital in County C were 2.784 4, 1.965 5, 2.540 5, 3.559 0, and 1.861 2, respectively. Human capital, material capital, and financial capital risks were the main risks that caused poverty-stricken households to return to poverty; the poverty-stricken households had a moderate risk of returning to poverty, with a comprehensive evaluation value of 2.588 3;research had found that C County had problems such as insufficient human capital stock, immature development of leading industries, difficulty in land transfer, insufficient role of grassroots organizations, imprecise management of assistance responsible persons, need to improve the professionalism and diversification of assistance work, insufficient social integration of poverty stricken households, and incomplete monitoring and early warning work for poverty return;in view of the above problems,some suggestions were put forward,firstly, enhance endogenous motivation and promoting the accumulation of human capital; secondly, strengthening industrial planning and enhancing the follow-up assistance capabilities of the industry; thirdly, strengthening the leadership of grassroots organizations and guiding them to play a pioneering role; fourthly,improving the level of rural governance and assisting farmers in integrating into society;fifthly, implementing early warning mechanisms and improving the poverty alleviation monitoring system.

Key words: sustainable livelihoods, risk of returning to poverty, poverty stricken households, entropy weight method, Hotan Region, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China