湖北农业科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 65 ›› Issue (8): 8-13.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2026.08.002

• 专题:稻米品质特性研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

湘早籼45号稻米品质对气象因子的响应

杨婉蓉1,2,3, 郑福维4, 解娜5, 帅子昂6, 帅细强1,2   

  1. 1.气象防灾减灾湖南省重点实验室/湖南省气象科学研究所,长沙 410118;
    2.洞庭湖国家气候观象台,湖南 岳阳 414000;
    3.湖南省常德市气象局,湖南 常德 415000;
    4.湘西州气象局,湖南 吉首 416000;
    5.中国气象局气象干部培训学院湖南分院,长沙 410000;
    6.湖南省郴州市安仁县气象局,湖南 安仁 423600
  • 收稿日期:2026-04-01 发布日期:2026-09-02
  • 通讯作者: 帅细强(1970-),男,湖南醴陵人,正高级工程师,硕士,主要从事农业气象研究,(电子信箱)nqsxq@163.com。
  • 作者简介:杨婉蓉(1999-),女,湖南汉寿人,工程师,硕士,主要从事农业气象方面研究,(电子信箱)18773615552@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局气候变化专题项目(QBZJ2025011); 国家重点研发计划项目子课题(2022YFD2300203); 湖南省气象局创新发展重点专项(CXFZ2023-ZDZX02)

Response of rice quality of Xiangzaoxian 45 to meteorological factors

YANG Wan-rong1,2,3, ZHENG Fu-wei4, XIE Na5, SHUAI Zi-ang6, SHUAI Xi-qiang1,2   

  1. 1. Hunan Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Reduction/Hunan Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Changsha 410118, China;
    2. Dongting Lake National Climate Observatory, Yueyang 414000, Hunan, China;
    3. Changde Meteorological Bureau of Hunan Province, Changde 415000, Hunan, China;
    4. Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture Meteorological Bureau, Jishou 416000, Hunan, China;
    5. Hunan Branch of Meteorological Cadre Training College, China Meteorological Administration, Changsha 410000, China;
    6. Anren Meteorological Bureau of Chenzhou City, Hunan Province, Anren 423600, Hunan, China
  • Received:2026-04-01 Online:2026-09-02

摘要: 分析2023年和2024年湘早籼45号分期播种田间试验稻米品质与抽穗至乳熟期、乳熟至成熟期、抽穗至成熟期3个不同时间段气象条件的关系;采用二次多项式和线性拟合的方法,基于2023年第1—4播期(3月10日、3月25日、4月5日、4月15日)和2024年第1、3、4播期数据分别建立糙米率、精米率、垩白粒率、垩白度、直链淀粉含量等稻米品质指标的预测模型;用2024年第2播期做检验,分析模型的预测误差和准确率。结果显示,建立的稻米品质预测模型误差均不超过5%,模型确定了影响各稻米品质要素的关键气象因子,影响糙米率、精米率、垩白粒率、垩白度和直链淀粉含量的关键气象因子分别为抽穗至成熟期日平均降水量、抽穗至乳熟期气温日较差、抽穗至乳熟期日平均气温和日平均最高气温、抽穗至成熟期日平均降水量和气温日较差以及乳熟至成熟期气温日较差。

关键词: 湘早籼45号, 稻米品质, 气象因子, 预测模型, 准确率

Abstract: The correlations between rice quality obtained from staggered sowing field experiments of Xiangzaoxian 45 in 2024 and 2023 and meteorological conditions of three growth stages (heading to milky ripening, milky ripening to maturity, heading to maturity) were analyzed. Prediction models for rice quality indicators including brown rice rate, milled rice rate, chalky grain rate, chalkiness degree and amylose content were established via quadratic polynomial and linear fitting methods based on datasets of the 1st-4th sowing dates(March 10, March 25, April 5 and April 15) in 2023 as well as the 1st, 3rd and 4th sowing dates in 2024. Data of the 2nd sowing date in 2024 were adopted for model validation, through which prediction error and accuracy were analyzed. The results indicated that prediction errors of all constructed rice quality prediction models were controlled within 5%. Key meteorological factors affecting each rice quality index were identified. Respectively, daily mean precipitation from heading to maturity, diurnal temperature range from heading to milky ripening, daily mean temperature and daily mean maximum temperature from heading to milky ripening, daily mean precipitation together with diurnal temperature range from heading to maturity, and diurnal temperature range from milky ripening to maturity were confirmed as the dominant meteorological factors for brown rice rate, milled rice rate, chalky grain rate, chalkiness degree and amylose content.

Key words: Xiangzaoxian 45, rice quality, meteorological factors, prediction model, accuracy

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