湖北农业科学 ›› 2021, Vol. 60 ›› Issue (4): 92-96.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2021.04.019

• 农村城镇化 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于脱钩理论的川北传统农业区城镇化水平与耕地安全耦合研究——以绵阳市三台县为例

侯兰功1, 牟月华1, 乔标2   

  1. 1.西南科技大学土木工程与建筑学院,四川 绵阳 621000;
    2.中国电子信息产业发展研究院,北京 100048
  • 收稿日期:2019-10-25 出版日期:2021-02-25 发布日期:2021-03-07
  • 通讯作者: 牟月华(1994-),女,四川达州人,硕士,主要从事区域发展与规划研究,(电子信箱)562305947@qq.com。
  • 作者简介:侯兰功(1979-),男,安徽淮南人,副教授,博士,主要从事区域发展与规划研究,(电话)18081240207(电子信箱)soundskyhlg@163.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(41701172); 四川省教育厅自然科学项目(15ZA0123)

Coupling study of urbanization level and farmland security in traditional agricultural areas in north Sichuan based on decoupling theory: A case study of Santai county, Mianyang city

HOU Lan-gong1, MOU Yue-hua1, QIAO Biao2   

  1. 1. School of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Southwest University of Science and Technology,Mianyang 621000, Sichuan, China;
    2. Electronic Information Industry Development Research Institute of China, Beijing 100048, China
  • Received:2019-10-25 Online:2021-02-25 Published:2021-03-07

摘要: 基于脱钩理论,构建脱钩模型,测算三台县城镇化水平与耕地安全胁迫指数两者的脱钩弹性系数,划分两者间的脱钩状态。研究表明,三台县2006—2018年城镇化水平稳步上升,耕地安全胁迫指数总体上呈波动式下降趋势;三台县的城镇化水平与耕地安全胁迫指数脱钩态势主要呈强负脱钩、强脱钩、扩张负脱钩、弱负脱钩4种,且呈动态交替变化;从脱钩-耦合关系来看,近13年的脱钩状态变化虽然部分年份存在较消极的状态,但大致上表现为从畸形向理想状态的转变;脱钩状态呈现阶段性特征:2007—2011年,该阶段脱钩状态表现出由极不理想状态逐步改善的趋势,城镇化水平与耕地安全两者间的协调关系表现为前期不合理逐渐优化调整;2012—2018年,该阶段整体表现出脱钩状态振荡稳定在合理状态与较消极状态,城镇化水平与耕地安全两者耦合关系也基本稳定在协调与较协调状态。

关键词: 川北地区, 城镇化, 耕地安全, 脱钩

Abstract: Based on the decoupling theory, a decoupling model was constructed, the decoupling elastic coefficient of urbanization level and farmland security stress index were calculated in Santai county, and the decoupling state between them were divided. The research showed that the urbanization level of Santai county increased steadily from 2006 to 2018, and the farmland security stress index generally showed a fluctuating decline. The decoupling trend of urbanization level and farmland security stress index in Santai county mainly presented strong negative decoupling, strong decoupling, expansion negative decoupling, and weak negative decouplingfour types, which presented dynamic alternation. From the perspective of decoupling and coupling relationship, the change of decoupling state in the recent 13 years was generally manifested as the transformation from deformity to ideal state, although there was a relatively negative state in some years. The decoupling state presented stage characteristics: From 2007 to 2011, the decoupling state showed a trend of gradual improvement from the unideal state, and the coordination between urbanization level and farmland security showed unreasonable and gradual optimization and adjustment in the early stage. From 2012 to 2018, the overall performance of this phase showed that the decoupling state oscillates and was stable in a reasonable state and a relatively negative state, and the coupling relationship between urbanization level and farmland security was basically stable in a coordinated and relatively coordinated state.

Key words: north Sichuan region, urbanization, safety of cultivated land, decoupling

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