湖北农业科学 ›› 2022, Vol. 61 ›› Issue (13): 220-227.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2022.13.040

• 经济·管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

湖南省农业生产效率时空变化及影响因素研究——以洞庭湖区为例

欧阳昶, 王安平   

  1. 湖南省农林工业勘察设计研究总院,长沙 410007
  • 收稿日期:2022-04-02 出版日期:2022-07-10 发布日期:2022-08-10
  • 作者简介:欧阳昶(1967-),男,湖南郴州人,高级工程师,硕士,主要从事农业工程方向研究,(电话)13974867423(电子信箱)ouyangchang958@126.com

Study on the spatio-temporal changes and influence factors of agricultural production efficiency in Hunan Province: Taking the Dongting Lake area as an example

OUYANG Chang, WANG An-ping   

  1. Hunan Prospecting Designing & Research General Institute for Agriculture Forestry & Industry, Changsha 410007, China
  • Received:2022-04-02 Online:2022-07-10 Published:2022-08-10

摘要: 选取洞庭湖区24个县(市、区)作为研究单元,结合传统数据包络分析(DEA)模型、超效率DEA模型和Tobit模型评估洞庭湖区24个县(市、区)的农业生产效率。普通DEA模型分析表明,2005—2015年,洞庭湖区24个县(市、区)生产效率均存在有效及无效的年份。超效率DEA模型表明,2005—2015年洞庭湖农业生产效率总体呈下降趋势。Tobit回归分析发现,总人口、城市化水平、工业总产值、人均GDP、农民平均每人纯收入、消费品零售总额、普通小学在校人数、普通中学在校人数、受灾面积、成灾面积和水土流失治理面积均对农业生产效率有显著影响,且各因素在不同年份分别表现为正向或负向的显著影响。

关键词: 农业生产效率, 时空变化, 超效率DEA模型, Tobit模型, 洞庭湖区

Abstract: Taking 24 counties (cities and districts) in Dongting Lake area as the research unit,the agricultural production efficiency of the 24 counties (cities and districts) in Dongting Lake area was evaluated by combining traditional data envelopment analysis model (DEA), super efficiency DEA model and Tobit model. The analysis of the ordinary DEA model showed that from 2005 to 2015, the production efficiency of 24 counties (cities and districts) in Dongting Lake area had an effective and invalid year. The super efficiency DEA model showed that the agricultural production efficiency of Dongting Lake showed a general decline from 2005 to 2015 years. The Tobit regression analysis found that the agricultural total population,urbanization level, total industrial output value,per capita GDP,average net income of farmers,total retail sales of consumer goods,number of students in ordinary primary schools,number of students in ordinary middle school,the area of disaster affected,the area of disaster and the control area of soil erosion had a significant influence on agricultural production efficiency. And each factor showed positive or negative significant effects in different years.

Key words: agricultural production efficiency, spatio-temporal changes, super efficiency DEA model, Tobit model, Dongting Lake area

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