HUBEI AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES ›› 2018, Vol. 57 ›› Issue (7): 25-31.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2018.07.006

• Resource & Environment • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Dynamic Change and Prediction of Land Use in Xinjiang

WANG Long-long, ZHANG Yong-fu   

  1. School of Resources and Environment Science,Xinjiang University/Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology,Ministry of Education,Urumqi 830046,China
  • Received:2017-10-30 Published:2020-01-14

Abstract: To study the space-time evolution and driving mechanism of land use in Xinjiang,based on data source of land-use and land-cover change(LUCC) form China resources and environmental science data center in 1990,2000 and 2010,the space-time evolution and driving mechanism of land use was analyzed and forecasted by IDRISI17.0 LCM model,CA-Markov model,and combined with RS and GIS. The results showed that the area of cultivated land,construction land,forest land and water increased,but the area of grassland and unused land decreased. Based on IDRISI17.0 CA-MARKOV model to simulate land use situation in 2025 in Xinjiang,the results showed that,on the whole,the area change of land tapes appeared “a land tape reduced and five land tapes increased” trend from 2010 to 2025. The increase in population,economic development and environmental policy adjustment to the influence of land use change was more outstanding in the study area.

Key words: CA-Markov Model, LCM Model, land-use change, Xinjiang

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