湖北农业科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 58 ›› Issue (4): 124-127.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2019.04.027

• 信息预警 • 上一篇    下一篇

2018年湖北省水稻价格分析和2019年走势展望

丁可1, 胡梦婷2, 詹婷2   

  1. 1.湖北省农业农村厅,武汉 430070;
    2.湖北垄上行信息科技有限公司,湖北 荆州 434000
  • 修回日期:2018-12-20 出版日期:2019-02-25 发布日期:2019-11-26
  • 通讯作者: 胡梦婷(1993-),女,湖北荆州人,主要从事农产品数据监测,(电话)15927939117(电子信箱)604639004@qq.com
  • 作者简介:丁 可(1983-),男,湖北洪湖人,农艺师,硕士,主要从事农产品市场监测,(电话)027-87740347(电子信箱)jacobdk@foxmail.com
  • 基金资助:
    农业市场预警调查与数据分析服务

Analysis of Rice Price in Hubei Province in 2018 and Trend Prospects for 2019

DING Ke1, HU Meng-ting2, ZHAN Ting2   

  1. 1.Agricultural and Rural Department of Hubei Province,Wuhan 430070,China;
    2.Hubei Longshangxing Information Technology Co.,Ltd.,Jingzhou 434000,Hubei,China
  • Revised:2018-12-20 Online:2019-02-25 Published:2019-11-26

摘要: 综合历年调查数据发现,2018年湖北省早稻、中晚稻价格整体运行较为平稳,受稻谷最低收购价格下调等多重因素影响,早、中晚稻价格较往年有所下降。由于国内稻谷高产量、高价格、高库存“三高”压力依然存在,随着去库存进度加快、种植结构调整,供给侧结构改革进一步加强,预计2019年水稻价格继续向市场靠拢,并呈微弱的下行态势,普优稻价两极分化将越来越明显。

关键词: 水稻, 价格, 走势, 湖北省

Abstract: According to the survey data of past years, the price of early rice and mid-late rice in Hubei province were relatively stable in 2018, affected by many factors, such as the decrease of minimum purchase price of rice, etc., and the price of mid-late rice was lower than that of previous years. Due to the high yield, high price and high inventory of rice in China, the "three high" pressures still exist. With the rapid progress of destocking, the adjustment of the planting structure and the further strengthening of supply-side reforms, it is expected that rice prices will continue to close to the market in 2019. And a weak downward trend, the price polarization will be more and more significant.

Key words: rice, price, trend, Hubei province

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