湖北农业科学 ›› 2025, Vol. 64 ›› Issue (12): 1-9.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2025.12.001

• 农业新质生产力 •    下一篇

农业新质生产力赋能乡村振兴:理论与实证

邓皓天, 肖峰   

  1. 湖南农业大学信息与智能科学技术学院,长沙 410128
  • 收稿日期:2025-06-09 发布日期:2025-12-30
  • 通讯作者: 肖 峰(1988-),女,湖南邵阳人,讲师,硕士生导师,博士,主要从事社会经济统计、消费经济理论研究,(电话)13467644100(电子信箱)xfwhite@126.com。
  • 作者简介:邓皓天(2005-),男,湖南衡阳人,在读本科生,专业方向为社会经济统计,(电话)15675854457(电子信箱)1622859644@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    湖南省社会科学基金青年项目(23YBQ067)

Agricultural new quality productivity empowering rural revitalization: Theory and empirical evidence

DENG Hao-tian, XIAO Feng   

  1. College of Information and Intelligence,Hunan Agricultural University, Changsha 410128, China
  • Received:2025-06-09 Online:2025-12-30

摘要: 通过构建乡村振兴和农业新质生产力评价指标体系,利用熵权法测度了2012—2023年中国30个省(市、自治区)乡村振兴和农业新质生产力水平,并运用双向固定效应模型、中介效应模型、调节效应模型和门槛效应模型,实证检验了农业新质生产力对乡村振兴的影响。结果表明,农业新质生产力对乡村振兴具有显著的赋能效应,不同区域农业新质生产力对乡村振兴的影响存在差异;农业新质生产力可以通过促进农业技术进步来推动乡村振兴;农村人口老龄化能够削弱农业新质生产力对乡村振兴的促进作用,而土地规模经营则强化了二者的正向关系;农业新质生产力对乡村振兴的影响呈现出边际效应递减的非线性特征。本研究可为相关部门在农业新质生产力发展过程中制定乡村振兴政策提供参考。

关键词: 农业新质生产力, 乡村振兴, 作用机理, 中介效应, 调节效应, 门槛效应

Abstract: An evaluation index system for rural revitalization and agricultural new quality productivity was constructed, the entropy weight method was used to measure the levels of rural revitalization and agricultural new quality productivity in 30 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) in China from 2012 to 2023. Utilizing the two-way fixed effects model, mediation effect model, moderation effect model, and threshold effect model, the impact of agricultural new quality productivity on rural revitalization was empirically examined. The results showed that agricultural new quality productivity had a significant enabling effect on rural revitalization, and the impact of agricultural new quality productivity on rural revitalization varied in different regions. The agricultural new quality productivity could promote rural revitalization by promoting agricultural technological progress. Rural population aging could attenuate the promoting effect of agricultural new quality productivity on rural revitalization, whereas land scale operation strengthened this positive relationship. The impact of agricultural new quality productivity on rural revitalization exhibited a nonlinear characteristic of diminishing marginal effects. This study could provide reference for relevant departments to formulate rural revitalization policies in the process of developing agricultural new quality productivity.

Key words: agricultural new quality productivity, rural revitalization, action mechanism, mediation effect, moderation effect, threshold effect

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