Abstract: In order to improve the “three living” effect of rural tourism gathering area. Markov model, regression analysis model and analytic hierarchy process （AHP） were introduced to construct the spatial-temporal change prediction model, pattern change analysis model and impact effect rating model of rural tourism agglomeration area. The results showed that during 2008—2020, with the development of rural tourism cluster, 38.63% of the production benefits and 15.82% of the life benefits were brought to the rural areas, but 5.71% of the ecological benefits were lost. After driving force control design, it was predicted that 34.25% of ecological benefits will be achieved in the next 10 years.

Key words: “three living” effect, rural tourism gathering area, time and space, pattern, driving force