Abstract: This paper takes Hutubi County in Xinjiang as the research area, and analyzes the herdsmen's grassland turnover willingness based on the logistic binary regression model. It is found that there are 9 variables which have significant influence on the grassland outflow willingness of the herdsmen in Hutubi County. Among them, the age of the head of household, the health status, the number of labor force in animal husbandry, whether they want their children to continue grazing, the use of forage, the employment opportunities of non livestock, and the satisfaction degree of social security are the most significant, followed by the annual income of animal husbandry and the mode of livestock breeding. In order to promote the healthy development of grassland circulation, according to the influence degree of various factors on herdsmen's willingness to transfer grassland, countermeasures and suggestions were put forward for grassland circulation in Hutubi County.

Key words: herdsmen, grassland circulation, willingness, influencing factors, Hutubi County